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quinta-feira, 20 de fevereiro de 2020

Weather Station Lapa/Cartaxo Chitaca das Calemas CT1CPS Portuguese Maritime Ham Net





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Proverb of the Old Sea Wolves

The Sea does not make prisoners. He did not invite you.

 You are there of your free will.

B.O.C.S.A
Costal Brothers South Africa Flag


Weather 20/2/2020

CROSS YOUR T´S AND DOT YOUR I´S




TO BE A SAILOR

Is to like the Sea, the Sun, the Wind and adventure.
Is to comprehend and dominate,
or almost dominate these elements,
it is a way of living,
it is an acquired education,
it is a creation of solid friendships arising from participating in vivid experiences amidst a hostile environment
and to learn to respect Nature,
to survive the storms
and the calms,
to respect the traditions dear to the nautical activities,
to pass on to future generations all to that is wonderful about the love of all things of the sea.
JEFF
Portuguese Maritime Ham Net.

14316.00 USB 17h30 UTC From 1995 until today  For call in please send email to ct1cps@winlink.org

CT1CPS RMS Station.

Dial Frequency

3608.5 
7044.5
10144.5
14103.5
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000
AXNT20 KNHC 191758
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1257 PM EST Wed Feb 19 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1740 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...CARIBBEAN SEA GALE WARNING...

The current situation in the Caribbean Sea consists of: NE-to-E
gale-force winds, and sea heights ranging from 11 feet to 17 feet,
from 11N to 13N between 73W and 78W. The gale-force winds will
slow down, to less than gale-force, in 6 hours or so. The gale-
force winds will return tonight. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS
FORECAST: MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC, the latest OFFSHORE FORECAST: 
MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC, or go to the website 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, from the NWS 
National Hurricane Center, for more details.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN GALE WARNING...

The 42-hour forecast, starting at 19/1200 UTC, consists of a 
forecast cold front from 31N76W to 28N78W to 26N80W. Expect:
N OF 26N W OF FRONT W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT N 25 TO 30
KT WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 35 KT N OF 30N E OF 78W. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT...EXCEPT 10 TO 14 FT N OF 30N E OF 78W. Please read the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST: MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC, the latest OFFSHORE
FORECAST: MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC, or go to the website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, from the NWS
National Hurricane Center, for more details.

...GULF OF MEXICO GALE WARNING...

The 36-hour forecast, starting at 19/1200 UTC, consists of 
forecast cold front from 29N83W to 24N92W to 24N97W. Expect:
NW OF FRONT NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 35 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST: 
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC, the latest OFFSHORE FORECAST: 
MIAOFFNT4/FZNT24 KNHC, or go to the website 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, from the NWS 
National Hurricane Center, for more details.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... 

The monsoon trough is along 05N, passing through the Prime
Meridian along 05N, through the southern sections of Liberia,
to 05N10W. The ITCZ continues from 05N10W, to 05N17W, 03N24W,
to 01N28W, 01N31W, crossing the Equator along 37W, to 01S43W.
Precipitation: scattered moderate to isolated strong is within 75
nm to the north of the monsoon trough between 01W and 07W in parts
of Africa. Isolated moderate to locally strong is elsewhere from
05N southward from 50W eastward. Precipitation: broken to overcast
multilayered clouds, and possible rainshowers, are to the north of
the line that runs from 24N85W to 27N86W to 25N90W to the NW
corner of the Yucatan Peninsula.

GULF OF MEXICO...

A cold front is moving through the Gulf of Mexico. It is passing
through the Florida Panhandle, across SE Louisiana, to the
southernmost point of Texas at the coast.  near 29N92W to S Texas
near 27N97W. Scattered showers are within 60 nm of the front. 20 
kt N winds are N of the front. 5-15 kt SE winds are over the 
remainder of the Gulf. Elsewhere, radar imagery shows scattered 
showers along the coast of central Florida near Tampa from 26N-29N
between 82W-84W. 

The current cold front will move southeastward, slowly, through 
tonight. Reinforcing cold air then will push the front across the
remainder of the Gulf of Mexico, quickly, from Thursday through 
Friday. Gale-force wind conditions are possible in the offshore 
waters of Tampico Mexico on Friday morning, and in the far SW 
Gulf of Mexico and the offshore waters of Veracruz Mexico on
Friday evening. Expect strong north to northeast winds elsewhere 
behind the front, and building seas, through Friday night. The sea
heights will subside on Saturday and Saturday night. Fresh 
southerly wind flow will set up in the western Gulf of Mexico,
from Saturday night through Sunday night. This will be happening
in advance of the next cold front, that is expected in the far NW
Gulf on Sunday night.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Scattered to broken low level clouds and possible rainshowers, in
trade wind flow, span the Caribbean Sea. 24-hour rainfall totals
that are listed for the period that ended at 13/0000 UTC, 
according to the PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION 
TABLES, MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC, are: 0.24 in San Juan in Puerto 
Rico; 0.14 in Guadeloupe; 0.11 in Trinidad; 0.08 in St. Thomas in 
the Virgin Islands; 0.02 in Curacao; and a trace, in Nassau in 
the Bahamas. 

The current wind situation in the Caribbean Sea consists of: NE-
to-E gale-force winds, and sea heights ranging from 11 feet to 17 
feet, from 11N to 13N between 73W and 78W. The gale-force winds 
will slow down, to less than gale-force, in 6 hours or so. The 
gale- force winds will return tonight. Please read the latest HIGH
SEAS FORECAST: MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC, the latest OFFSHORE 
FORECAST: MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC, or go to the website 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, from the NWS 
National Hurricane Center, for more details. 

High pressure to the north of the area will support fresh to 
strong winds in the central Caribbean Sea, through Thursday.
The wind speeds will be pulsing to gale-force off the coast of 
Colombia, tonight and on Thursday night. The wind speeds and the
sea heights will diminish in the Caribbean Sea, and in the 
Tropical N Atlantic Ocean, from Thursday through Friday night. A 
cold front that is in the Gulf of Mexico will reach the Yucatan 
Channel on Friday night, and move across the NW Caribbean Sea 
through Saturday night. 

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

An upper level trough extends from a cyclonic circulation center
that is near 33N09W along the coast of Morocco, to the Canary
Islands, to a 29N34W cyclonic circulation center, to 24N37W.
A separate upper level trough is along 20N26W, to 15N40W, to
12N50W, to 09N59W. Precipitation: isolated moderate from 17N to
30N between 44W and 58W. 

High pressure to the north of the area will support fresh to 
strong winds near the Windward Passage through tonight. A 
cold front will move into the northwest waters today, and then 
become stationary near 30N through Thursday. Reinforcing cold air
will push a strong cold front across the forecast area from
Thursday night through Saturday. Near gale to gale-force winds 
are expected on both sides of the front on Friday. The wind speeds 
will diminish gradually across the region from Saturday through 
Sunday. Large seas, producing potentially hazardous conditions, 
are expected in the waters that are to the north and northeast of
the Bahamas, from Friday through early on Sunday. The seas will 
subside slowly, thereafter through Sunday night.

$$
MT



FQNT52 LFPW 192039
A
SECURITE
Weather bulletin on METAREA 2,
METEO-FRANCE Toulouse, Wednesday 19 February 2020 at 2215 UTC.

Wind speed in BEAUFORT SCALE.
Sea state in DOUGLAS SCALE.
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than
the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the
significant height.

WARNING : Regarding the elaboration and dissemination of routine
bulletins, erratic service is possible following a strike notice.
However, security aspects will be monitored on a permanent basis and
warning bulletins will be sent out.

Part 1 : WARNING NR 106.


Part 2 : General synopsis, Wednesday 19 at 12 UTC
Low 961 60N21W moving northeast, expected 957 67N06W by 21/00 UTC.
Associated trough in southwest extended towards ALTAIR, moving east,
crossing areas above 38N, expected extended from Norh Sea to Bay of
Biscay by 20/12 UTC. 
New low expected 981 53N50W by 20/00 UTC, moving northeast, expected
961 61N24W by 21/00 UTC with associated trough extended in southwest
towards far northwest ALTAIR.
Shallow low 1022 over northwest Morocco with little move, expected
1019 by 20/00 UTC.
High pressure 1035 from 1038 Azores Islands to south Bay of Biscay,
expected 1028 over west Mediterranean Sea by 20/00 UTC.
High 1038 43N44W, expected 1035 over Azores Islands by 21/00 UTC with
associated ridge extended towards Bay of Biscay. 
ITCZ along 05N10W 05N17W 02N24W 01N28W 01N31W Eq37W 01S43W.


Part 3 : Area forecasts to Friday 21 at 00 UTC

FARADAY.
In west : Southwest 8 or 9. Severe gusts.
In east : Northwest  6 or 7, locally 8 at first, backing Southwest 6
or 7 from west soon then increasing 8 or 9 later. Severe gusts.
High and cross, locally very high in north later.
NW swell 4 or 5 m.
Showers in east at first, rain from west later.

ROMEO.
Northwest 7 or 8, but Southwest 7 or 8 in east at first, decreasing 5
or 6 from west soon, backing Southwest later then increasing 7 or 8
in northwest at end. Severe gusts.
Very rough and cross, locally high in north.
NW swell 4 or 5 m.
Rain from west.

ALTAIR.
In west : Variable Clockwise 2 to 4, becoming Southwest 6 or 7 soon
then increasing 7 or 8 in north. Severe gusts.
In east : North or Northwest 6 or 7, becoming Variable Clockwise 2 to
4 later, becoming Southwest 5 to 7 at end locally 8 in north. Gusts.
Rough or very rough and cross, becoming high in north later.
NW swell 4 or 5 m.
Rain and showers in east at first, rain in northwest at end.

CHARCOT.
Southwest 6 or 7, veering Northwest  7 or 8 from west, decreasing
North or Northwest 6 or 7 soon then North 4 to 6 later, backing
Southwest in northwest at end. Severe gusts.
Rough or very rough and cross.
Rain from west later.

ACORES.
In west : Northeast 4 or 5, veering Southeasterly soon, then
Southerly later, locally 6 in north.
In east : Northerly 5 or 6, locally 7 in far east, veering Northeast
4 or 5 later, locally 6 in southeast.
Moderate or rough.
Rain in east at first.

JOSEPHINE.
In west : Southwest 5 or 6, veering North or Northwest 6 or 7 soon,
veering North or Northeast 5 to 7 later.
In east : Northerly 3 to 5, veering Northeast 4 or 5 later,
increasing 5 or 6 at end.
Moderate or rough soon, becoming rough or very rough and cross
later.
Rain and thundery showers.

IRVING.
East or Northeast 4 or 5, locally 6 soon, increasing 5 or 6 in east
at end.
Moderate or rough.

MADEIRA.
North or Northeast 4 or 5, increasing 5 or 6 in west later,
occasionally 7 in northwest.
Moderate or rough, locally very rough in northwest at end.
Thundery showers from north later.

PAZENN.
Southwest 6 or 7, veering Northwest from west soon, decreasing 5 or 6
later, backing West or Southwest 3 to 5 at end. Severe gusts.
Very rough and cross.
NW swell 4 or 5 m.
Rain from west.

IROISE, YEU.
Southwest 5 or 6, increasing 6 or 7 in late night, veering Northwest
5 or 6 in the afternoon, then decreasing 3 or 4 at end. Gusts.
Rough or very rough, cross with W or NW swell.
Rain tomorrow.

ROCHEBONNE.
Southwest 4 or 5, increasing Southwest 5 or 6 in late night,
temporarily 7 at midday, decreasing Northerly 4 or 5 in late
afternoon, veering Northerly 2 to 4 at end. Gusts.
Rough or very rough with NW swell.

CANTABRICO.
Southerly 2 to 4, increasing Southwest 5 or 6 in northwest in the
morning, veering Northerly 3 to 5 in the evening.
Rough in NW swell, locally very rough in northwest tomorrow.

FINISTERRE.
In north : Southwest 5 or 6, locally 7, veering North or Northwest 5
or 6 from west soon, then North or Northeast 4 or 5 later. Gusts.
In south : Southwest 4 or 5, Veering North or Northeast 5 or 6 later.
Gusts.
Rough, becoming very rough in north.
Rain from west.

PORTO.
Northerly 3 to 5, backing Southwest 3 or 4 in northwest soon,
increasing North or Northeast 5 or 6 later.
Rough.

SAO VICENTE.
North or Northeast 4 or 5, but East or Northeast 5 or 6 in southeast
at times 7. Gusts.
Rough.

CADIZ, GIBRALTAR STRAIT.
In strait and leeward : East 7 or 8. Severe gusts.
Elsewhere : Easterly 4 to 6.
Moderate or rough.

CASABLANCA.
North or Northeast 4 or 5, at times 6 in far north, but Variable 1 to
3 near coasts.
Rough, becoming moderate in south at end.

AGADIR.
North or Northeast 4 or 5, decreasing 3 or 4 at end, but Variable 1
to 3 near coasts.
Rough, becoming moderate at end.

METEOR.
East or Northeast 5 or 6.
Rough.

CANARIAS.
Northeast 5 or 6, locally 7 with gusts between Islands.
Rough.
Sand haze in southeast.

TARFAYA.
Northeast  4 or 5, decreasing 3 or 4 soon.
Rough, becoming moderate later.

CAPE VERDE.
Northeast 5 or 6.
Rough.
Sand haze in southeast.

CAP BLANC.
Northeast 5 or 6. Gusts.
Rough.
Sand haze.

CAP TIMIRIS.
North or Northeast 4 or 5, at times 6 in north.
Rough.
Sand haze.

SIERRA LEONE.
Northeast 4 or 5, but Variable 2 to 4 in southeast.
Moderate or rough, locally slight in far southeast.
Some rain in far southeast. Sand haze.

GULF OF GUINEA.
South or Southeast 2 to 4, but Variable 1 to 3 in northwest..
Slight or moderate, locally rough in northwest.
Thundersqualls with severe gusts.

POINTE NOIRE.
Southeast 4 or 5 in west and 3 or 4 in east.
Moderate, locally slight in far east.
Thundersqualls with severe gusts.

 

Part 4 : outlook for next 24 hours
Threat of Southwest near gale over north Bay of Biscay. 
Persistence of Southwest near gale or gale over FARADAY, ALTAIR,
ROMEO and north of PAZENN.
Threat of Northeast near gale over JOSEPHINE and MADEIRA.
Persistence of East near gale or gale over CADIZ and GIBRALTAR
STRAIT.